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Durable Goods Orders

Economic Indicators

A monthly indicator measuring new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for goods designed to last three years or more. Durable goods orders reflect business investment confidence and can signal future economic activity.

What Durable Goods Orders Measures

Durable goods orders track new orders for products with a lifespan of three or more years, including machinery, vehicles, appliances, electronics, and defense equipment. The U.S. Census Bureau releases this data about 26 days after the month ends. The report includes both headline orders and core orders excluding volatile transportation items like aircraft.

Business Investment Signals

Durable goods orders are an important gauge of business investment sentiment. When companies order expensive, long-lasting equipment, it signals confidence in future revenue. Rising orders suggest businesses expect growth, while declining orders may indicate uncertainty or expected slowdowns.

The core reading (excluding defense and aircraft) is often called core capital goods orders and is considered the best proxy for business investment in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) calculation.

Key fact: Aircraft orders from Boeing can swing the headline number dramatically in a single month. Traders focus on core orders for a more accurate picture of underlying business investment trends.

Forex Trading Impact

Strong durable goods data supports the U.S. Dollar (USD) by reinforcing expectations for economic growth and potential rate hikes. Weak data has the opposite effect. The release can produce moderate volatility, especially when the result surprises in either direction.

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