A monthly measure of output from the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors. Industrial production data helps gauge the strength of a country's productive economy and can influence currency direction.
What Industrial Production Measures
Industrial production tracks the real output of factories, mines, and utilities. In the U.S., it is published by the Federal Reserve Board, typically around the 15th of each month. The report also includes capacity utilization, which measures how much of the economy's productive potential is being used.
Relevance to Forex
Rising industrial production signals economic expansion, which can support a currency by increasing expectations for interest rate hikes. Declining production suggests economic weakness. The indicator is particularly important for manufacturing-heavy economies like Germany, Japan, and China.
Industrial production data complements Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) readings. While PMI is survey-based and forward-looking, industrial production provides hard data confirming whether manufacturing is actually expanding or contracting.
Trading Considerations
Industrial production releases rarely cause major market moves on their own but can reinforce trends established by other data points like Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Retail Sales. Traders use it as a confirming indicator rather than a primary trading signal.
Related Terms
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
The total monetary value of all finished goods and services produced within a country during a specific period. GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and a key driver of currency valuations.
Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)
A survey-based indicator measuring the prevailing direction of economic trends in manufacturing and services. PMI readings above 50 indicate expansion, while readings below 50 signal contraction.
Durable Goods Orders
A monthly indicator measuring new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for goods designed to last three years or more. Durable goods orders reflect business investment confidence and can signal future economic activity.
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