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Elliott Wave Theory

Technical Analysis

A technical analysis framework that identifies recurring wave patterns in price movements, proposing that markets move in five impulsive waves followed by three corrective waves.

The Elliott Wave Structure

Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s, this theory proposes that market prices unfold in recognizable patterns driven by collective investor psychology. The basic structure consists of five waves in the direction of the main trend (labeled 1-2-3-4-5) followed by three corrective waves (labeled A-B-C). This 5-3 pattern repeats at every time frame, creating a fractal structure.

Wave Rules and Guidelines

Three unbreakable rules define valid wave counts: Wave 2 never retraces more than 100% of Wave 1. Wave 3 is never the shortest of the three impulse waves (1, 3, 5). Wave 4 never enters the price territory of Wave 1. Beyond these rules, guidelines such as Wave 3 typically being the strongest and extending to 161.8% of Wave 1 (using Fibonacci Extension) help traders project targets.

Elliott Waves in Forex Trading

Forex traders use Elliott Wave analysis to identify where the market sits within the broader cycle. If EUR/USD appears to be in Wave 3 of an uptrend, the trader expects strong bullish momentum. If the pair seems to be completing Wave 5, a corrective A-B-C decline may follow. Fibonacci Retracement levels help measure corrective waves (Wave 2 often retraces 50-61.8% of Wave 1), while extensions project impulse wave targets. The theory has a steep learning curve but provides a comprehensive framework for understanding market structure alongside Dow Theory.

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